Ballard's Unlikely Redemption Arc

Gameweek 1 Wrapped

Another gameweek done. Twenty-two goals across six matches, with Liverpool's 4-2 win over Bournemouth grabbing the headlines and leaving a trail of captain casualties in its wake.

The weekend's football served up the usual mix of statement victories and surprise results. Liverpool's encounter with Bournemouth turned into a proper spectacle, Salah and Gakpo combining with Semenyo's brace to produce a five-goal thriller that looked like a training ground exercise gone rogue. Elsewhere, Manchester City dismantled Wolves 4-0 with clinical efficiency, Haaland bagging a pair to announce his season in the manner he prefers. Sunderland's 3-0 demolition of West Ham at the Stadium of Light proved the most eye-catching upset, with Ballard, Isidor, and Mayenda finding the net to suggest Phil Parkinson's side might be more than relegation fodder this term. Spurs brushed aside Burnley 3-0 through Johnson and a Richarlison double, while Nottingham Forest's 3-1 victory over Brentford saw Thiago Silva and Chris Wood combine for three goals. Across The Premier Pundits, managers averaged 58 points, a respectable if unremarkable haul that masked considerable variance beneath the surface.

The captaincy proved a collective exercise in disappointment. Four managers handed the armband to Haaland, five to Salah, and one to Palmer, yet none extracted more than 4 points from their choice. This wasn't a case of one manager's poor judgment but rather a gameweek where premium assets simply underdelivered across the board. Haaland's two goals should have yielded more, yet his 4-point return from the captain's chair felt thin given City's dominance. Salah's involvement in Liverpool's win similarly failed to translate into the haul his captainers anticipated. Palmer's 4-point blank was perhaps the most frustrating, a reminder that even the most reliable assets can disappoint when the stakes feel highest.

Bench management exposed genuine fault lines in squad construction. Three managers left nothing on the sidelines, a feat that sounds virtuous until you realise it came courtesy of activated chips rather than tactical acumen. Hannah Thompson and Daniel Davies both deployed Bench Boost, their 0-point benches a mechanical consequence rather than a sign of prescience. Mike Anderson, meanwhile, salvaged a difficult week through bench depth alone, his 14-point reserve cushion proving the difference between a respectable score and a damaging one. Nathan McBannister and Daniel Davies occupied opposite ends of the spectrum, the former's 4-point bench contribution barely registering while the latter's chip activation rendered the question moot. The mid-table pack averaged 7.8 points from the bench, suggesting most managers carried genuine squad depth rather than relying on tactical gimmickry.

Defensive assets outperformed their attacking counterparts in a pattern that will intrigue squad builders heading into Gameweek 2. Ballard's 17-point haul from Sunderland's clean sheet and opening goal set the tone, a return that dwarfed most premium forward options. Murillo's 17-point contribution to Nottingham Forest's victory proved equally impressive, the centre-back combining goal involvement with defensive solidity. N.Williams added 13 points to the defensive narrative, while Milenković chipped in 8 points from what proved a profitable weekend for backline assets. Hannah Thompson's squad benefited considerably from this trend, Murillo's haul salvaging an otherwise difficult week despite her Palmer captaincy returning just 4 points. The new defensive bonus system, rewarding high action counts with additional points, appears to have shifted the value proposition in favour of defenders, a development that may reshape squad construction philosophy across the league.

The Premier League table shows Arsenal holding top spot after their opening fixture, with Liverpool's 4-2 win keeping them firmly in contention at second. Spurs' 3-0 victory over Burnley places them third, though the gap between first and third remains negligible at this early stage. Burnley's defeat leaves them in the relegation zone alongside West Ham and Wolves, the latter's 4-0 hammering by City a particularly brutal introduction to their campaign. The spread of results suggests no clear hierarchy has yet emerged, with six different scorelines across six matches indicating genuine unpredictability.

Gameweek 2 presents a fresh set of challenges and opportunities. West Ham host Chelsea in a fixture that carries considerable weight for both sides, while Manchester City face Spurs in a match that could define early season momentum. Arsenal's trip to Leeds offers a chance to build on their opening statement, though the Yorkshire side will provide stiffer resistance than Burnley managed. Brentford welcome Aston Villa to the Gtech Community Stadium, a fixture between two sides with genuine European ambitions. The schedule offers no obvious rest periods, with midweek fixtures likely to follow, meaning squad rotation and injury management will become increasingly relevant. Managers should monitor team news closely over the coming days, particularly for sides facing congested calendars. The captain consensus failure this week suggests differentiation opportunities lie in identifying assets poised for positive regression, though the data remains too sparse to draw firm conclusions.

League Standings

# Team Chg GW Pts
1
McBannister's Mavericks
Nathan McBannister
77
2
Anderson's Warriors Team
Mike Anderson
73
3
Thompson's Mavericks FC
Hannah Thompson
48
4
Patel's Elite Squad
Nina Patel
42
5
Chen's Army XI
Sarah Chen
68
6
Johnson's Legends United
Sophie Johnson
56
7
Davies's Titans Team
Daniel Davies
73
8
Taylor's Champions FC
Tom Taylor
46
9
Clark's Thunder Squad
Alex Clark
54
10
Wilson's Tactics XI
Rachel Wilson
47
10 Managers
0 Transfers
58.0 Avg GW Pts
2,978,329 Avg Rank
3 Chips

Manager Progression

Global rank progression throughout the season
Progression Analysis:
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Gameweek Score Distribution

League performance vs global average
Distribution Analysis:
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Distribution of scores across all league managers
Purple Vertical Line:
League average score (your mini-league benchmark)
Gold Vertical Line:
Global average score (worldwide FPL managers)

Captain Choices

Most popular captain picks across the league
Captain Analysis:

Chart shows: Distribution of captain choices across all managers

Why it matters: Popular captains = differential opportunity

Strategy: Consider less popular but form players for rank gains

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Luck Index

How much variance affected each manager's points
How Luck Score Works:
  • Captain Performance (40%): Did your captain outperform expectations based on form?
  • Bench Nightmares (25%): High-scoring players stuck on your bench (very unlucky!)
  • Player Injuries (20%): Key players getting injured/sent off early in games
  • Over/Under Performance (15%): Players massively exceeding or disappointing vs form
Higher scores = luckier (better captain hauls, low bench points)
70+ Lucky 55-69 Above Avg 45-54 Average 30-44 Unlucky <30 Very Unlucky

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All Time High Scores

Best single gameweek performances
All Time High Scores:

Shows: Top 10 highest single gameweek scores in league history

Bragging rights: Who has achieved the most explosive gameweeks?

All Time Low Scores

Worst single gameweek performances
All Time Low Scores:

Shows: Top 10 lowest single gameweek scores in league history

Hall of shame: The worst weeks that everyone wants to forget

Bench Points

Points left on the bench each gameweek
Bench Analysis:
High Bench Points:
Indicates poor team selection or bad luck
Low Bench Points:
Shows good captain/starting XI choices

Team Value

Squad value progression over time
Value Analysis:
Rising Value:
Good player picks that gain value
Falling Value:
Poor transfers or injured players

Fixture Difficulty

Next 5 gameweeks by squad
Fixture Difficulty:

Shows: Combined fixture difficulty for each manager's starting XI over the next 5 gameweeks

How it's calculated: Based on opponent strength - playing weaker teams = easier fixtures

Strategy: Managers with easier fixtures may have higher ceiling for points

Chips Usage

Strategic chip deployment analysis
Chips Analysis:
Wildcard:
Complete squad refresh
Free Hit:
One gameweek flexibility
Triple Captain:
Captain scores triple points

Most Owned Players

Popular player choices across league
Ownership Analysis:
High Ownership:
Essential players most managers own
Low Ownership:
Differential picks for gaining ground

Squad Similarities

Which managers follow similar strategies
Network Analysis:
Node Colors:
🟢 Top 3 managers • 🟡 Top 6 • 🔵 Others
Connections:
Lines show 2+ shared players between managers
Interactions:
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League Rankings

Position changes throughout the season
League Rankings:

Shows: How each manager's league position has changed week by week

Track momentum: Rising lines = improving form, falling lines = struggles

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Differential Picks

Low-ownership players with high potential
Differential Strategy:
What are Differentials?
Players owned by fewer managers but with high scoring potential
Why They Matter:
Gain rank by owning players others don't when they perform
Risk vs Reward:
Higher variance but potential for massive rank gains

Differential picks will appear here based on league ownership data

Full Manager Data

Complete statistical breakdown with advanced metrics
Table Features:
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Consistency, risk index, success rates
Medal Rankings:
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Transfer Engine AI-Powered

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Top Captain Picks - GW

1
How It Works

Our captaincy model uses XGBoost machine learning trained on 42 historical gameweeks to predict optimal captain choices for the upcoming gameweek. It analyzes multiple factors including:

  • Form & Momentum: Recent points, ICT index, bonus points
  • Fixtures: Opponent difficulty, home/away advantage for the next gameweek
  • Expected Stats: xG, xA, xGI from underlying data
  • Ownership: Template vs differential considerations
  • Defensive Contribution: Clean sheet & defensive bonus potential
Note: Model predictions should be used alongside your own analysis, eye test, and injury news. Captain picks are inherently volatile and past performance doesn't guarantee future results.

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Transfer Impact (GW1-1)

Net points from transfers (5 GW window)
Calculation:

Net Impact = Points from players transferred in - Points from players transferred out - Hit costs

  • Green bars indicate positive net impact
  • Red bars indicate negative net impact
  • Hover over bars for detailed breakdowns
  • Wildcards and Free Hits are excluded from analysis

Note: Points calculated from transfer gameweek to present. When viewing historical gameweeks, current gameweek points may be shown as approximation.

Deep dive into season progression, transfers, and insights

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Top Transfers In

Most transferred in players globally

Top Transfers Out

Most transferred out players globally

GW1 Top Scorers

Highest scoring players this gameweek

Player Availability

Injury and suspension status

Bonus Points Leaders

Players ranked by bonus points per game played

In-Form Players

Best recent form

Best Value

Points per million

ICT Index Leaders

Influence, Creativity & Threat

Goal Contributions

Goals + Assists

Creativity Leaders

Best chance creators

Threat Leaders

Goal threat

Clean Sheet Kings

Defenders & Goalkeepers

Nailed-On Starters

Most reliable starters

xG Overperformers

Goals vs Expected

xA Overperformers

Assists vs Expected

Gameweek 1 Fixtures

Match results and player performance
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