Guéhi's Unlikely Armband Vindication

Gameweek 3 Wrapped

Another gameweek done. Twenty-one goals across six matches, with Everton's 3-2 comeback at Wolves grabbing the headlines and leaving half the league's captains wondering where it all went wrong.

Everton's visit to Molineux produced the week's most entertaining contest. Dewsbury-Hall opened the scoring before Ndiaye added a second, only for Wolves to level through two quick replies. Beto's late intervention settled it, though the narrative belonged to Everton's composure under pressure. Elsewhere, West Ham dismantled Nottingham Forest 3-0 with clinical efficiency, Paquetá, Bowen, and Wilson combining to expose Forest's defensive frailties. Crystal Palace's 3-0 demolition of Aston Villa proved equally one-sided, Guéhi, Sarr, and Mateta finding the net to announce Palace as genuine contenders. Manchester United edged Burnley 3-2 in a chaotic affair, while Chelsea's 2-0 win over Fulham maintained their early momentum. Across The Premier Pundits, managers averaged 46 points, a respectable haul that masked significant variance in how individual squads performed.

Mohamed Salah's armband proved a popular choice among three managers, yet delivered only 4 points each. Erling Haaland, despite his pedigree, managed the same return for his captains. Bruno Fernandes, captained by David White, contributed an identical 4 points. Across the league, no captain returned more than 4 points, a remarkable leveller that rendered armband selection almost immaterial to differentiation. This wasn't a case of one or two managers backing the wrong horse; it was a collective misfire where the consensus picks all underperformed simultaneously. The week belonged instead to those who'd captained differentials or simply got lucky with their selections. For a league where captaincy typically separates the wheat from the chaff, this gameweek felt almost democratic in its disappointment.

Bench points ranged from 2 to 17 across the ten managers, a 15-point spread that speaks to wildly different squad construction philosophies. Emma Evans left 17 points unused, a costly oversight that undermined what was otherwise a respectable 42-point gameweek. Mike Brown's 14 bench points suggested similar squad management struggles, though his overall position remained stable. David White, by contrast, managed just 5 bench points, indicating either superior squad depth or ruthless selection discipline. These variations matter less in isolation than cumulatively; across a season, the difference between consistently leaving 15 points on the bench and leaving 5 compounds into genuine league position shifts. The mid-table pack averaged 7.6 bench points, suggesting most managers struck a reasonable balance between squad strength and selection precision.

Four managers made transfers targeting midfield upgrades this week, moving away from Cole Palmer and into players like Sarr, Gibbs-White, Ndoye, and Grealish. On paper, the logic held; Palmer had disappointed, and these alternatives offered either form or fixture appeal. In practice, the moves yielded minimal immediate returns. Sarr scored 11 points for Crystal Palace, a solid return that nonetheless felt underwhelming given the transfer cost. Gibbs-White, Ndoye, and Grealish combined for modest contributions that didn't justify the minus-4 point hit one manager absorbed. The lesson wasn't that these transfers were wrong, but rather that midfield churn rarely pays dividends in the short term. Patience, as ever, remains the FPL virtue most managers lack.

David White leads The Premier Pundits on 679 points, holding rank 3 overall despite slipping one position this week. His 73-point gameweek was built on Murillo's 17-point haul and solid contributions across the board, though his captaincy of Fernandes proved unfortunate. Mike Brown sits second in the league on 659 points, rank 6 overall, having managed 45 points this week despite Salah's disappointing armband return. Emma Evans occupies third place on 645 points, rank 8 overall, her 42-point gameweek hampered by the 17 bench points that might have altered her trajectory.

Arsenal face Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 4, a fixture that carries title race implications as the Gunners sit atop the Premier League table. Everton's visit to Aston Villa offers another intriguing matchup, particularly given Everton's momentum from their Wolves comeback. Newcastle's home fixture against Wolves provides a chance for the hosts to build on their early season form, while Fulham's clash with Leeds offers Championship versus Premier League intrigue. Managers should monitor squad rotation across these fixtures; with no international break immediately following, fixture congestion remains manageable, but early-season fatigue may yet influence team selection. The week ahead promises clearer differentiation than Gameweek 3 offered, with captaincy choices likely to carry genuine weight once more.

League Standings

# Team Chg GW Pts
1
McBannister's Mavericks
Nathan McBannister
45
2
Garcia's Legends FC
Sophie Garcia
40
3
White's Powerhouse Team
David White
73
4
Moore's Giants United
Chris Moore
50
5
Johnson's Titans Squad
Emily Johnson
42
6
Brown's Champions XI
Mike Brown
45
7
Clark's Army FC
Tom Clark
52
8
Evans's Phoenix Team
Emma Evans
42
9
Anderson's Tactics United
Oliver Anderson
33
10
Martinez's Warriors Squad
Daniel Martinez
37
10 Managers
12 Transfers
46.0 Avg GW Pts
2,978,329 Avg Rank
0 Chips

Manager Progression

Global rank progression throughout the season
Progression Analysis:
Global Rank:
Shows worldwide FPL ranking over time
Line Colors:
Each manager has a unique color
Interactions:
Hover lines for detailed manager info

Gameweek Score Distribution

League performance vs global average
Distribution Analysis:
Blue Bars:
Distribution of scores across all league managers
Purple Vertical Line:
League average score (your mini-league benchmark)
Gold Vertical Line:
Global average score (worldwide FPL managers)

Captain Choices

Most popular captain picks across the league
Captain Analysis:

Chart shows: Distribution of captain choices across all managers

Why it matters: Popular captains = differential opportunity

Strategy: Consider less popular but form players for rank gains

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Luck Index

How much variance affected each manager's points
How Luck Score Works:
  • Captain Performance (40%): Did your captain outperform expectations based on form?
  • Bench Nightmares (25%): High-scoring players stuck on your bench (very unlucky!)
  • Player Injuries (20%): Key players getting injured/sent off early in games
  • Over/Under Performance (15%): Players massively exceeding or disappointing vs form
Higher scores = luckier (better captain hauls, low bench points)
70+ Lucky 55-69 Above Avg 45-54 Average 30-44 Unlucky <30 Very Unlucky

Click Analysis tab to load charts

All Time High Scores

Best single gameweek performances
All Time High Scores:

Shows: Top 10 highest single gameweek scores in league history

Bragging rights: Who has achieved the most explosive gameweeks?

All Time Low Scores

Worst single gameweek performances
All Time Low Scores:

Shows: Top 10 lowest single gameweek scores in league history

Hall of shame: The worst weeks that everyone wants to forget

Bench Points

Points left on the bench each gameweek
Bench Analysis:
High Bench Points:
Indicates poor team selection or bad luck
Low Bench Points:
Shows good captain/starting XI choices

Team Value

Squad value progression over time
Value Analysis:
Rising Value:
Good player picks that gain value
Falling Value:
Poor transfers or injured players

Fixture Difficulty

Next 5 gameweeks by squad
Fixture Difficulty:

Shows: Combined fixture difficulty for each manager's starting XI over the next 5 gameweeks

How it's calculated: Based on opponent strength - playing weaker teams = easier fixtures

Strategy: Managers with easier fixtures may have higher ceiling for points

Chips Usage

Strategic chip deployment analysis
Chips Analysis:
Wildcard:
Complete squad refresh
Free Hit:
One gameweek flexibility
Triple Captain:
Captain scores triple points

Most Owned Players

Popular player choices across league
Ownership Analysis:
High Ownership:
Essential players most managers own
Low Ownership:
Differential picks for gaining ground

Squad Similarities

Which managers follow similar strategies
Network Analysis:
Node Colors:
🟢 Top 3 managers • 🟡 Top 6 • 🔵 Others
Connections:
Lines show 2+ shared players between managers
Interactions:
Hover nodes/lines for detailed info

League Rankings

Position changes throughout the season
League Rankings:

Shows: How each manager's league position has changed week by week

Track momentum: Rising lines = improving form, falling lines = struggles

Tip: Click legend names to show/hide individual managers

Differential Picks

Low-ownership players with high potential
Differential Strategy:
What are Differentials?
Players owned by fewer managers but with high scoring potential
Why They Matter:
Gain rank by owning players others don't when they perform
Risk vs Reward:
Higher variance but potential for massive rank gains

Differential picks will appear here based on league ownership data

Full Manager Data

Complete statistical breakdown with advanced metrics
Table Features:
Sortable Columns:
Click headers to sort data
Advanced Metrics:
Consistency, risk index, success rates
Medal Rankings:
Top 3 highlighted with medals

Transfer Engine AI-Powered

Transfer recommendations with fixture forecasting, price analysis, and squad optimization

Select a manager above to view comprehensive transfer recommendations

Top Captain Picks - GW

3
How It Works

Our captaincy model uses XGBoost machine learning trained on 42 historical gameweeks to predict optimal captain choices for the upcoming gameweek. It analyzes multiple factors including:

  • Form & Momentum: Recent points, ICT index, bonus points
  • Fixtures: Opponent difficulty, home/away advantage for the next gameweek
  • Expected Stats: xG, xA, xGI from underlying data
  • Ownership: Template vs differential considerations
  • Defensive Contribution: Clean sheet & defensive bonus potential
Note: Model predictions should be used alongside your own analysis, eye test, and injury news. Captain picks are inherently volatile and past performance doesn't guarantee future results.

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Transfer Impact (GW1-3)

Net points from transfers (5 GW window)
Calculation:

Net Impact = Points from players transferred in - Points from players transferred out - Hit costs

  • Green bars indicate positive net impact
  • Red bars indicate negative net impact
  • Hover over bars for detailed breakdowns
  • Wildcards and Free Hits are excluded from analysis

Note: Points calculated from transfer gameweek to present. When viewing historical gameweeks, current gameweek points may be shown as approximation.

GW3 Transfers

Transfers made this gameweek
N
Nathan McBannister
+1
Net Impact
Marc Guiu
1 pts Replaced
Wood
2 pts Signed
Positive
GW3
N
Nathan McBannister
-1
Net Impact
Wirtz
3 pts Replaced
P.M.Sarr
2 pts Signed
Neutral
GW3
S
Sophie Garcia
+2
Net Impact
Palmer
0 pts Replaced
Semenyo
2 pts Signed
Positive
GW3
D
David White
+7
Net Impact
Saka
0 pts Replaced
Sarr
7 pts Signed
Excellent
GW3
M
Mike Brown
+2
Net Impact
Palmer
0 pts Replaced
Gibbs-White
2 pts Signed
Positive
GW3
T
Tom Clark
+9
Net Impact
Elanga
1 pts Replaced
Grealish
10 pts Signed
Excellent
GW3
T
Tom Clark
+1
Net Impact
Palmer
0 pts Replaced
Ndoye
1 pts Signed
Positive
GW3
E
Emma Evans
+10
Net Impact
Palmer
0 pts Replaced
Grealish
10 pts Signed
Excellent
GW3
E
Emma Evans
0
Net Impact
Watkins
2 pts Replaced
Wood
2 pts Signed
Neutral
GW3
O
Oliver Anderson
+9
Net Impact
Gittens
1 pts Replaced
Grealish
10 pts Signed
Excellent
GW3
D
Daniel Martinez
+2
Net Impact
Palmer
0 pts Replaced
Semenyo
2 pts Signed
Positive
GW3
D
Daniel Martinez
-8
Net Impact
Diouf
10 pts Replaced
Calafiori
2 pts Signed
Poor
GW3
Deep dive into season progression, transfers, and insights

Select a manager to see their complete season analysis

Top Transfers In

Most transferred in players globally

Top Transfers Out

Most transferred out players globally

GW3 Top Scorers

Highest scoring players this gameweek

Player Availability

Injury and suspension status

Bonus Points Leaders

Players ranked by bonus points per game played

In-Form Players

Best recent form

Best Value

Points per million

ICT Index Leaders

Influence, Creativity & Threat

Goal Contributions

Goals + Assists

Creativity Leaders

Best chance creators

Threat Leaders

Goal threat

Clean Sheet Kings

Defenders & Goalkeepers

Nailed-On Starters

Most reliable starters

xG Overperformers

Goals vs Expected

xA Overperformers

Assists vs Expected

Gameweek 3 Fixtures

Match results and player performance
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